Markets make the news.
Anteo is a newsroom powered by markets, not a trading terminal with headlines attached. When people with money at risk change their minds, that shift is the story — and we translate it into plain English: what moved, by how much, and what the market now believes.
We do not give picks. We do not tell you what to buy. Everything here is a report on what a market already did.
Every probability here traces back to a market where people have money at risk — a price, not a house estimate and not a poll. When more than one venue prices the same question we keep all of them and show where they disagree, because the disagreement is usually the most informative thing on the page. That is what The Spread is for.
How a price becomes a probability, how sportsbook odds are corrected, and what the method cannot do are all on the methodology page.
Every resolved market is graded and the record is public. We publish calibration rather than an accuracy percentage — a win rate can be flattered by counting only the easy calls — and the misses appear beside the calls, never one without the other. Nobody can publish the hits and hold the misses back: confirming is all-or-nothing, and anything withheld is disclosed with a count.
The record is on the Scoreboard. When we get something wrong ourselves it goes in the corrections log rather than being quietly edited.
No advertising, no affiliate deals, and no money from any exchange or sportsbook. That is the whole list, and it is a constraint rather than a preference: a market newsroom taking money from a venue it reports on has nothing left to sell.
It is funded by readers who pay for Pro and by publishers who embed our markets. The feed, the Signals, the Scoreboard and The Brief's daily delivery cost nothing and are not going to start — Pro adds alerts by email, which is new work, rather than a fence around what was already free.
Invent a cause. When a price moves and we do not know why, the Signal says “no clear catalyst identified”. Attributing a move to whatever happened to be in the news that morning is the easiest sentence in financial journalism to write and the hardest to defend.
Draw a line we did not observe. A probability chart is a factual claim. With fewer than two observations it says so instead of drawing a plausible shape.
Pass AI-written copy off as written. Where a summary is machine-generated it is labelled on the page.
Trade. Every venue connection is read-only and unauthenticated. Wallet authentication exists to place orders; wiring it would hand a market-data reader the authority to move funds in exchange for nothing.
Name a feature that does not exist. Catalyst attribution — explaining why a market moved — is specified and deliberately unbuilt, because doing it honestly needs evidence we do not yet have.